Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
16.8% ( -0.27)	22.64% ( -0.24)	60.55% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 47.15% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.11% (

0.51)

50.89% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.23% (

0.45)

72.77% (

-0.45)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.39% (

-0.03)

43.6% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.2% (

-0.03)

79.8% (

0.02)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6% (

0.35)

16.4% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96% (

0.63)

46.04% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 16.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.54%

Draw 22.64%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.8%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.64%	0-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 11.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 60.54%