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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 19, 2024 at 6am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
0 - 5
Hiroshima


Matsuda (11'), Sato (41'), Hara (66')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kawamura (9'), Arai (12', 25', 69'), Matsumoto (55')
Ohashi (27')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, May 15 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
16.8% (-0.266 -0.27) 22.64% (-0.235 -0.24) 60.55% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 47.15% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11% (0.509 0.51)50.89% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23% (0.446 0.45)72.77% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.39% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)43.6% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.2% (-0.026 -0.03)79.8% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (0.34999999999999 0.35)16.4% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (0.631 0.63)46.04% (-0.632 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 16.8%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.54%
    Draw 22.64%
Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.45% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.8%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.64%
0-1 @ 12.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 11.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.04% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.85% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 3.18% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.64% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 60.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, May 15 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Machida Zelvia
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-3 Nagoya Grampus
Monday, May 6 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League


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