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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
2 - 3
Hiroshima

Muto (41'), Araki (48' og.)
Takahashi (13'), Mihara (86'), Kamijima (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ben Khalifa (4'), Matsumoto (61'), Fujii (67')
Sasaki (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Reysol
Saturday, August 6 at 10.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
29.2% (2.095 2.1) 27.73% (-0.186 -0.19) 43.07% (-1.906 -1.91)
Both teams to score 46.9% (1.699 1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.41% (1.562 1.56)58.59% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.85% (1.202 1.2)79.15% (-1.2 -1.2)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (2.55 2.55)35.8% (-2.549 -2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (2.53 2.53)72.57% (-2.53 -2.53)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.264 -0.26)26.96% (0.265 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.348 -0.35)62.29% (0.351 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 29.2%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.07%
    Draw 27.73%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.465 0.47)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.391 0.39)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.302 0.3)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.242 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.65% (-0.581 -0.58)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.274 0.27)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.86 -0.86)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.29% (-0.637 -0.64)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.62% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Reysol
Saturday, August 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Consadole
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, July 2 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 17 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 10 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 3-0 Hiroshima
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, July 2 at 10.30am in J1 League


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