J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium
Muto (41'),
Araki (48' og.)
Takahashi (13'), Mihara (86'),
Kamijima (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
29.2% ( 2.1) | 27.73% ( -0.19) | 43.07% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( 1.7) |
| 41.41% ( 1.56) | 58.59% ( -1.56) |
| 20.85% ( 1.2) | 79.15% ( -1.2) |
| 64.2% ( 2.55) | 35.8% ( -2.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.43% ( 2.53) | 72.57% ( -2.53) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 73.04% ( -0.26) | 26.96% ( 0.26) |
