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J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 27, 2022 at 11am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
0 - 3
Hiroshima


Matsuda (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chajima (25'), Matsumoto (81'), Soteriou (90+10')
Nogami (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
32.65% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08) 26.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 40.74% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)53.28% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)74.83% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)30.54% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)66.77% (0.10499999999999 0.1)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.74% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.67% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 32.65%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40.73%
    Draw 26.61%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.65%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-3 Cerezo
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 5-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-3 Hiroshima
Sunday, August 14 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 17 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 10 at 10am in J1 League


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