Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.74%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.17) 
