Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.
