Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
