Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.3) 
