The hosts head into this match in strong form and after an impressive victory at the weekend, but this could still prove to be too much for them. Ajax are one of the most dominant teams in the Eredivisie and should have enough quality to get through this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.61%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Ajax
20.78% ( -0.01)	20.62% ( -0)	58.61% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.17% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.16% (

0.01)

35.84% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.07% (

0.01)

57.92% (

-0.01)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55%

30.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34%

66.66% (

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95% (

0.01)

12.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.45% (

0.02)

37.55% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 20.78%

Ajax 58.61%

Draw 20.62%

De Graafschap	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 20.78%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.61%