Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.05) 
