SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | De Graafschap |
29.59% ( 0.07) | 23.01% ( -0.05) | 47.39% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( 0.3) | 38.55% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.32) | 60.84% ( -0.32) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.19) | 25.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( 0.27) | 59.95% ( -0.27) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( 0.1) | 16.6% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.58% ( 0.19) | 46.41% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.36% Total : 47.39% |
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