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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
OL

Alaves
0 - 2
Osasuna


Laguardia (13'), Duarte (29'), Moya (28'), Navarro (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Garcia (22'), Torres (29' pen.)
Torres (31'), Torro (73'), Sanchez (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawOsasuna
29.74%27.84%42.42%
Both teams to score 46.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23%58.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71%79.29%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76%72.24%
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62%27.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15%62.85%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 29.73%
    Osasuna 42.42%
    Draw 27.83%
AlavesDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 29.73%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 12.58%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 8.15%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 42.42%

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