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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 24, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
RV

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Benzema (31'), Rodrygo (89')
Carvajal (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Tomas (84')
Garcia (33'), Lopez (51'), Comesana (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 21 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Rayo Vallecano

Both teams will be keen to bounce back from defeats last weekend and claim maximum points in their quests to achieve their respective targets in the final three games of the campaign. Rayo Vallecano will fancy their chances of causing another upset against Real Madrid, but we believe that the hosts will continue their strong form on home soil and come out on top on Wednesday, even without the presence of Vinicius in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
72.87% (0.18299999999999 0.18) 17.21% (-0.061 -0.06) 9.92% (-0.1201 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.1% (-0.254 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)43.12% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)65.52% (0.083000000000013 0.08)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)10.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.09% (0.054999999999993 0.05)33.91% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.33% (-0.296 -0.3)49.67% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.57% (-0.206 -0.21)84.43% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 72.87%
    Rayo Vallecano 9.92%
    Draw 17.21%
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 13.23% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.99% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.65% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.56% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 72.87%
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 17.21%
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 9.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Man City
Tuesday, May 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Real Madrid
Tuesday, May 2 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, May 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, May 4 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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