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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2021 at 1pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
CV

Alaves
1 - 3
Celta Vigo

Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
28.73%28.62%42.64%
Both teams to score 44.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.2%61.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.41%81.59%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08%37.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31%74.69%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46%64.54%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 28.73%
    Celta Vigo 42.64%
    Draw 28.62%
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 13.58%
0-2 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-3 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.1%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 42.64%

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