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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
RB

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Betis

Berenguer (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fornals (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gevora 1-6 Betis
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Betis

This is a tough match to call, with both sides in strong form; Athletic will be the fresher of the two teams, though, and home advantage should also be key on Sunday, so we are expecting the Lions to shade a close contest at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
45.51% (0.332 0.33) 25.98% (0.07 0.07) 28.51% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.492 -0.49)52.31% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-0.423 -0.42)74% (0.422 0.42)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)22.93% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)56.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (-0.563 -0.56)32.99% (0.562 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.627 -0.63)69.58% (0.62599999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 45.51%
    Real Betis 28.51%
    Draw 25.97%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, October 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Slavia Prague
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-1 Espanyol
Saturday, October 19 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 AZ
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Gevora 1-6 Betis
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Copenhagen
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Betis
Saturday, October 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Betis
Sunday, October 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Legia 1-0 Betis
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League


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