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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
AB

Barcelona
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Guiu (80')
Gavi (16'), Romeu (41'), Guiu (83'), Guiu (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (37'), Ares (73'), de Marcos (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting Athletic to cause the Catalan outfit problems on Sunday night. Barcelona will again be missing a number of important players, but we are backing Xavi's side to navigate their way to all three points in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAthletic Bilbao
59.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 18.66% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.8% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)45.15% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.093000000000004 0.09)67.49% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.058000000000007 0.06)14.82% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (0.109 0.11)43.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.009999999999998 0.01)38.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.010000000000002 0.01)74.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 59.38%
    Athletic Bilbao 18.66%
    Draw 21.95%
BarcelonaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 59.38%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.95%
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 18.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Granada 2-2 Barcelona
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Sevilla
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Almeria
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Getafe
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, September 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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