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Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AM

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Atletico

Arnautovic (79')
Frattesi (86'), Augusto (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hermoso (53'), Savic (82'), Morata (84'), Koke (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtletico Madrid
60.89% (-0.645 -0.64) 21.17% (0.099 0.1) 17.93% (0.548 0.55)
Both teams to score 54.01% (0.77 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (0.485 0.48)42.87% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (0.477 0.48)65.27% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)13.61% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.24% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)40.76% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (0.922 0.92)37.48% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (0.892 0.89)74.26% (-0.89 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 60.88%
    Atletico Madrid 17.93%
    Draw 21.17%
Inter MilanDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 60.88%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 5.01% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Atletico 5-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, February 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Valencia
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in La Liga


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