SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
38.1% ( -0.44) | 25.16% ( -0.08) | 36.74% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( 0.4) | 46.39% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( 0.37) | 68.67% ( -0.37) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.05) | 24.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( -0.08) | 58.26% ( 0.07) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.47) | 24.74% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( 0.65) | 59.3% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.74% |
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