We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Celta Vigo
Celta are more than capable of finding the back of the net in this match, with Atletico far from watertight at the back this season, but the home side were impressive against Man United for long spells, which should give them the confidence to claim another three points on Saturday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
