The contrast between Getafe's home record and Granada's woes on their travels is quite stark: the visitors are rarely able to make an impact away from Andalucia, so their hosts should coast to victory at the Coliseum.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Getafe in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Getafe.
-0.57) 
0.67) 
