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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
AM

Granada
0 - 1
Atletico


Boye (75'), Batalla (90+5'), Medina (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (54')
Niguez (72'), Savic (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Granada's best performances have come at home this season, while Atletico have not been too impressive on their travels. Granada will also be the fresher of the two sides, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to an important three points in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
29.19% (0.78 0.78) 24.93% (0.18 0.18) 45.87% (-0.963 -0.96)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (-0.343 -0.34)47.58% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (-0.317 -0.32)69.79% (0.316 0.32)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.384 0.38)30.04% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.46100000000001 0.46)66.17% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)20.79% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)53.44% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Granada 29.19%
    Atletico Madrid 45.87%
    Draw 24.92%
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.185 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, January 3 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Granada
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Lugo 1-3 Atletico
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 4-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 3 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-3 Getafe
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga


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