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AB
Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Jan 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
BL

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Barcelona

Guruzeta (1'), Sancet (49'), Williams (105+2'), Williams (120+1')
Sancet (36'), Prados (82'), Herrera (109'), Williams (120+2')
FT
(aet)
Lewandowski (26'), Yamal (32')
Xavi (17'), Christensen (17'), Torres (82'), Fort (84'), Yamal (95'), de Jong (115'), Roberto (117')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-4 Barcelona
Sunday, January 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Barcelona

In spite of their well-documented shortcomings, Barcelona remain as sharp as a tack in the final third, scoring in each of their last 15 contests and netting at least two goals in seven of their last eight battles. La Blaugrana will certainly not have it all their own way at San Mames, where familiar opponents Athletic have dispatched teams for fun in recent weeks, but the Lions often lose their attacking bite when faced with a wall of Barca shirts and should fall just short as Xavi's side deny them a fifth successive semi-final appearance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
34.2% (-0.2 -0.2) 25.08% (0.323 0.32) 40.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-1.172 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (-1.502 -1.5)46.34% (1.504 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (-1.432 -1.43)68.63% (1.434 1.43)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.83 -0.83)26.17% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-1.127 -1.13)61.25% (1.128 1.13)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (-0.709 -0.71)22.65% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-1.065 -1.07)56.29% (1.068 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 34.2%
    Barcelona 40.72%
    Draw 25.08%
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.314 0.31)
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 34.2%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.369 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Eibar 0-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 4 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-4 Barcelona
Sunday, January 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Unionistas 1-3 Barcelona
Thursday, January 18 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Barcelona
Sunday, January 14 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Barbastro 2-3 Barcelona
Sunday, January 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Barcelona
Thursday, January 4 at 8.30pm in La Liga


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