Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
34.2% ( -0.2) | 25.08% ( 0.32) | 40.72% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( -1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.66% ( -1.5) | 46.34% ( 1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( -1.43) | 68.63% ( 1.43) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( -0.83) | 26.17% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( -1.13) | 61.25% ( 1.13) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( -0.71) | 22.65% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.72% ( -1.07) | 56.29% ( 1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.72% |
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