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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
AM

Valladolid
2 - 5
Atletico

Larin (42' pen.), Escudero (74')
Monchu (9'), Perez (44')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Molina (20'), Gimenez (24'), Morata (38'), Fernandez (86' og.), Depay (90+3')
Hermoso (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Real Valladolid will be looking over their shoulder again following their loss at Valencia, and Atletico are arguably the most difficult side to face in the league at the moment. Simeone's team will be missing some key players on Sunday but should have enough quality to edge out another victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
22.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 24.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 52.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.83% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (0.191 0.19)49.55% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (0.172 0.17)71.58% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.151 0.15)36.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (0.152 0.15)73.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (0.067999999999998 0.07)18.67% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99% (0.114 0.11)50.01% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 22.84%
    Atletico Madrid 52.91%
    Draw 24.23%
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.84%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.41% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 52.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Valladolid
Saturday, April 15 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 3-3 Mallorca
Sunday, April 9 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-3 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, April 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Betis
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in La Liga


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