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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
RV

Valencia
2 - 1
Valladolid

Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Larin (6')
Perez (55'), Masip (57'), Hongla (66'), Fernandez (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-2 Valencia
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 0-0 Real Valladolid

Given that Real Valladolid have the third-worst offensive record in La Liga – and Valencia have the best defensive record in the bottom half – we expect the relegation rivals to play out a cagey stalemate at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
59.73% (-0.148 -0.15) 22.29% (0.004999999999999 0) 17.98% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (0.197 0.2)47.63% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (0.182 0.18)69.83% (-0.18700000000001 -0.19)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.279 0.28)40.23% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.255 0.25)76.86% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 59.72%
    Real Valladolid 17.98%
    Draw 22.29%
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 59.72%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Elche 0-2 Valencia
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Valladolid
Saturday, April 15 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 3-3 Mallorca
Sunday, April 9 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-3 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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