SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Real Valladolid |
59.73% ( -0.15) | 22.29% ( 0) | 17.98% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.37% ( 0.2) | 47.63% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( 0.18) | 69.83% ( -0.19) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% ( 0.02) | 15.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.5% ( 0.03) | 44.49% ( -0.04) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( 0.28) | 40.23% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.13% ( 0.25) | 76.86% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.72% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.98% |
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