Elche have been the worst side in La Liga this season, so Valencia will be expecting to claim all three points here. Los Che might have to suffer and endure some difficult moments, but we are backing the away side to secure what would be a vital win at this stage of the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.11) 
