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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
SL

Valencia
0 - 2
Sevilla


Duro (85')
Moriba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Ocampos (41'), Jordan (51'), Montiel (81'), Gudelj (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

This is destined to be a cagey clash between two high-profile clubs battling for La Liga safety, so we expect Valencia and Sevilla to play out a close-fought draw at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawSevilla
46.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.11% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (0.313 0.31)53.53% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (0.264 0.26)75.05% (-0.265 -0.27)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.128 0.13)22.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.187 0.19)56.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (0.233 0.23)34.66% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.247 0.25)71.38% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 46.68%
    Sevilla 27.21%
    Draw 26.1%
ValenciaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 27.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sevilla 2-2 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Sevilla
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Sevilla
Sunday, March 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-0 Sevilla
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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