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Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
CV

Valencia
1 - 3
Celta Vigo

Pepelu (29' pen.)
Gasiorowski (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
de la Torre (13'), Douvikas (18' pen., 80')
Vazquez (48'), Swedberg (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Celta Vigo

As Celta Vigo tend to struggle on the road, Valencia can continue their revival by securing a spot in the Copa del Rey's last eight. The hosts possess more squad depth and young talent than their visitors, who are more concerned with events at the wrong end of La Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
41.75% (0.195 0.2) 27.3% (-0.103 -0.1) 30.95% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.9% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.35100000000001 0.35)56.42% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.282 0.28)77.43% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (0.267 0.27)26.65% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (0.35 0.35)61.89% (-0.349 -0.35)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.11799999999999 0.12)33.33% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.127 0.13)69.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 41.74%
    Celta Vigo 30.95%
    Draw 27.3%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 3-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, January 2 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Amorebieta 2-4 Celta Vigo
Sunday, January 7 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Betis
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga


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