Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
