SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.15% ( -0.66) | 23.84% ( -0.02) | 47% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( -0.31) | 42.75% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( -0.31) | 65.15% ( 0.31) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.61) | 27.62% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( -0.78) | 63.15% ( 0.78) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.15) | 18.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.49% ( 0.25) | 49.51% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 47% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
