The points were shared in a 1-1 draw in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline here. Both will feel that they can hurt the other in the final third, but a tight match should end with the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
