As mentioned, six of the last eight La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are expecting another stalemate here. It would not be a shock to see a narrow win either way, but we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio Coliseum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Alaves
41.62% ( -0.34)	30.7% ( 0.02)	27.68% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 38.73% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.67% (

0.07)

68.33% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.85% (

0.05)

86.15% (

-0.04)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

-0.17)

32.61% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85% (

-0.18)

69.15% (

0.19)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.47% (

0.33)

42.53% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.11% (

0.28)

78.89% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Getafe 41.62%

Alaves 27.68%

Draw 30.69%

Getafe	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 15.54% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.62%	0-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.69%	0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 27.68%