Four of the last five La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Both picked up strong results in the first set of La Liga fixtures this season, and a point here would certainly not be the worst result for either side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.24) 
0.33) 
