Sevilla have experienced a disappointing start to the season, and we think that they could experience more frustration against a defensively-resolute Getafe side, who we believe will do enough to take a point from Saturday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.