La Liga has a habit of throwing up surprise results when they are least expected, but we just cannot see that happening in this match. Girona have proved themselves to be a strong outfit this term, and the Catalan outfit should have too much for a struggling Almeria in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
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