SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Almeria |
54.17% ( 0.42) | 25.19% ( -0.04) | 20.63% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.48% ( -0.25) | 55.52% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% ( -0.2) | 76.7% ( 0.2) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( 0.07) | 20.5% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.02% ( 0.12) | 52.98% ( -0.12) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.14% ( -0.55) | 41.86% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.69% ( -0.48) | 78.31% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.63% |
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