Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
