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La Liga | Gameweek 32
May 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
AB

Mallorca
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Kang-in (58')
Raillo (15'), Muriqi (17'), Maffeo (29'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+4')
Raillo (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (90+6' pen.)
Berchiche (40'), Williams (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic have one of the stronger away records in the division this season, but Mallorca have also been strong at home, losing just four of their 15 matches. It would not be a shock to see a home victory or a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Athletic will secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawAthletic Bilbao
18.84% (0.638 0.64) 27.15% (0.58 0.58) 54% (-1.217 -1.22)
Both teams to score 38.96% (-0.424 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.27% (-1.083 -1.08)63.73% (1.085 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (-0.782 -0.78)82.99% (0.785 0.78)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.27% (0.121 0.12)48.73% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.24% (0.087 0.09)83.76% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-1.004 -1)24.01% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-1.456 -1.46)58.26% (1.457 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 18.84%
    Athletic Bilbao 54%
    Draw 27.14%
MallorcaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 4.31% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.02% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.03% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.84%
1-1 @ 12% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 11.69% (0.46 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 16.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 11.9% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 5.66% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 3-3 Mallorca
Sunday, April 9 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Osasuna
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Mallorca
Sunday, March 19 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Sevilla
Thursday, April 27 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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