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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
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Granada
0 - 4
Real Madrid


Boye (25'), Gumbau (45')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Garcia (38'), Guler (45+2'), Diaz (49', 58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Granada
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawReal Madrid
21.44% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 23.18%55.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)46.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.029999999999994 0.03)36.01% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)72.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.010000000000005 0.01)16.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)46.61% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Granada 21.44%
    Real Madrid 55.38%
    Draw 23.18%
GranadaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.44%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
0-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 55.38%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Granada
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 3-0 Osasuna
Sunday, April 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Granada
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-0 Alaves
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-1 Valencia
Thursday, April 4 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Granada
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, May 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Real Madrid (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League


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