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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
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Real Sociedad
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Le Normand (40'), Zubeldia (70'), Merino (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guler (29')
Guler (15'), Garcia (56'), Tchouameni (83'), Nacho (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid

Real Madrid are not expected to be at full-strength for this match, and Real Sociedad away is always a tough match regardless of their form and position in the table. We can see the points being shared in this match, which would not be the end of the world for Real Madrid, who will want to get through the contest unscathed ahead of their huge fixture against Bayern. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawReal Madrid
35.38% (-0.402 -0.4) 25.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 39.57% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Both teams to score 57.44% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (-0.234 -0.23)46% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (-0.221 -0.22)68.31% (0.224 0.22)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-0.339 -0.34)25.33% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-0.467 -0.47)60.11% (0.47 0.47)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.081000000000003 0.08)23.08% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (0.119 0.12)56.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 35.38%
    Real Madrid 39.57%
    Draw 25.04%
Real SociedadDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 31 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-3 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 PSG
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Real Madrid (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-3 Man City
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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