Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
51.79% (![]() | 22.15% (![]() | 26.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.93% (![]() | 37.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.73% (![]() | 59.26% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% (![]() | 14.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.45% (![]() | 42.55% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% (![]() | 26.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% (![]() | 62.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 9.54% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 4.32% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 6.51% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.06% |
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