SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Real Madrid |
50.75% ( 2.18) | 22.46% ( -0.42) | 26.78% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.06% ( 0.65) | 37.94% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% ( 0.69) | 60.2% ( -0.69) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( 1.01) | 15.18% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.2% ( 1.86) | 43.8% ( -1.86) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( -0.87) | 26.79% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( -1.16) | 62.07% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.12)Other @ 4% Total : 50.75% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
