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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
AM

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Atletico

Garcia (85')
Lejeune (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Betis
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's recent form has been excellent, and it would be fair to say that confidence in the camp is very high. Rayo are not losing many games at the moment, but Atletico's results over the last few months are difficult to ignore, and we are predicting a narrow away success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
27.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.69% (0.169 0.17) 44.55% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.582 -0.58)59.05% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.454 -0.45)79.51% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.307 -0.31)37.2% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.303 -0.3)73.98% (0.303 0.3)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.36099999999999 -0.36)26.4% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.483 -0.48)61.56% (0.483 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 27.76%
    Atletico Madrid 44.54%
    Draw 27.69%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 13.07% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.71% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Betis
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Atletico
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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