Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
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