SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
42.17% ( 3.77) | 24.52% ( -0.21) | 33.3% ( -3.56) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( 0.38) | 44.02% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( 0.37) | 66.4% ( -0.37) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 1.99) | 20.96% ( -1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( 3.02) | 53.72% ( -3.02) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -1.83) | 25.6% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( -2.57) | 60.48% ( 2.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.64)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.48)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.51)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.51) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.44)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.3% |
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