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Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
RL

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Roma


Zubeldia (13'), Rico (39'), Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (90+8')
FT

Karsdorp (6'), Mancini (17'), Smalling (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Roma (Roma win 3-2 on aggregate)

Even if La Real can shake off the shackles of their goalscoring struggles to bring themselves back into the tie, Roma pose enough danger at the other end to score at least once too. The Giallorossi's strikers may be misfiring, but Paulo Dybala is a class apart at this level - and their proficiency from set-pieces could also see them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRoma
41.74% (0.195 0.2) 27.77% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05) 30.49% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.73% (0.119 0.12)58.27% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.1% (0.094000000000001 0.09)78.9% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.164 0.16)27.51% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.212 0.21)63.02% (-0.215 -0.22)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)34.64% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.052 -0.05)71.36% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 41.73%
    Roma 30.49%
    Draw 27.76%
Real SociedadDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 2-3 Real Sociedad
Monday, February 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Salzburg
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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