Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
