Huesca are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Real Valladolid, but the home side's quality in the final third of the field should carry them to three points, and it remains to be seen whether that would be enough for them to finish above either Eibar or Almeria to earn promotion back to La Liga.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
