Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
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