SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
66.54% ( 2.03) | 19.15% ( -0.65) | 14.3% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.13) | 40.65% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( 0.13) | 63.03% ( -0.13) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% ( 0.58) | 11.34% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.97% ( 1.25) | 36.03% ( -1.25) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( -1.77) | 40.71% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% ( -1.63) | 77.29% ( 1.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.53% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.3% |
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