Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.