SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
29.78% ( -0.11) | 27.85% ( 0.25) | 42.37% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( -0.91) | 58.8% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.68% ( -0.71) | 79.32% ( 0.71) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% ( -0.56) | 35.47% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( -0.59) | 72.23% ( 0.59) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( -0.5) | 27.43% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( -0.65) | 62.91% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.37% |
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