Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
-0.11) 
0.25) 
