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A
Almeria
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
SL
Sevilla logo

Almeria
4 - 1
Sevilla

Milovanovic (49'), Suarez Charris (55', 78', 90+6' pen.)
Milovanovic (17'), Nico (37'), Quintanilla Rodriguez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (5')
Bade (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla

Almeria are a strong outfit and will enter this match in excellent form; if the hosts select their best players, then we fancy them to emerge victorious on Saturday afternoon against a Sevilla outfit that are having another difficult campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
48.05% (-1.254 -1.25) 23.9% (0.421 0.42) 28.05% (0.83 0.83)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.772 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.3% (-1.324 -1.32)43.7% (1.32 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.91% (-1.308 -1.31)66.09% (1.306 1.31)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)18.33% (0.988 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (-1.707 -1.71)49.43% (1.704 1.7)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)28.87% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.105 -0.11)64.73% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 48.05%
    Sevilla 28.05%
    Draw 23.89%
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.231 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.3 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.148 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.358 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 28.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-4 Almeria
Wednesday, December 18 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Mirandes
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, December 8 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leonesa 1-2 Almeria
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Granada
Saturday, November 30 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-3 Sevilla
Sunday, December 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Olot 1-3 Sevilla
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Monday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 24 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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